Trump wins 283-255 - AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$44.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump wins 283-255 - AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 283 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+283.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 283 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wyoming (3). If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 283 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.