
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between March 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between May 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between June 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between July 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump does not announce a pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between March 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president. This market may not resolve to "Yes" until the market timeframe has ended and no VP pick has been announced. The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:23:40 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.