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Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$93.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 20, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 20, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.8¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order on January 20, 2025, ET, explicitly addressing transgender individuals or issues related to transgender rights, recognition, or policies including but not limited to transgender participation in sports, access to healthcare, participation in the military and education policy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:39:58 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.