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Trump speaks on RNC Day 2?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$24.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 16, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Trump speaks on RNC Day 2?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 16, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 2 (July 16 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. He must speak while physically present on the stage for this market to resolve to "Yes". Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:49:07 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.