
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, or signs any bill into law, or otherwise officially renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake," "Lake Trump" or similar by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames Lake Okeechobee accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake," "Lake Trump" or similar will suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:37:25 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.