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Trump reinstates Mexico City policy on Day 1?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$6.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 20, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Trump reinstates Mexico City policy on Day 1?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 20, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes executive action on January 20, 2025, ET, to reinstate the Mexico City Policy (also known as the "Global Gag Rule"). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Executive action is defined as issuing an executive order, presidential memorandum, or any other official directive that reimposes restrictions on U.S. federal funding for non-governmental organizations that provide abortion counseling, referrals, or services, or advocate for the liberalization of abortion laws overseas. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.