Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$119.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action, or if the U.S. federal government otherwise officially enacts a policy of transferring U.S. citizens who are in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions (i.e. This market may resolve yes even if no incarcerated U.S. citizens are actually transferred to El Slavador). This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.