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Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$16.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 29, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 29, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or otherwise directs a federal agency to allow for the drilling of oil in Arctic National Wildlife Refuge by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Trump administration has opened the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for the drilling of oil will qualify.