
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if former US President Donald Trump appears on the ballot in all 50 US states for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is definitively decided that Trump will be on the ballot in every state for the 2024 US presidential election, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from relevant state governments, as well as other US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:32:47 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.