Trump negative approval before May?

Trump negative approval before May?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Apr 30, 2025

Yes bid / ask

99.9¢ / 100.0¢

Trading fees

Not flagged by provider

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.