Loading your workspace…
All markets
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$326K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 20, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
8 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<50ClosedMarket odds100%
Trump mentioned fewer than 50 times at the DNC today?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 20, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" is said fewer than 50 times on the second night of the DNC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any live mention on stage which is audible on the stream of the event will count toward this market. Ads won't count - only in-person mentions count. Pluralization/possessive of "Trump" will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Note for example if "Donald is running for President" is said, it doesn't count as a mention - only "Trump" counts. Note: Any mention of "Trump" counts regardless of context, even if it is used as a verb. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the second night of the DNC.