Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$53.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCAug 20, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Aug 20, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" is said 101 or more times on the second night of the DNC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any live mention on stage which is audible on the stream of the event will count toward this market. Ads won't count - only in-person mentions count. Pluralization/possessive of "Trump" will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Note for example if "Donald is running for President" is said, it doesn't count as a mention - only "Trump" counts. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the second night of the DNC.