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Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Missouri Caucus by more than 60% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus by between 50% (inclusive) and 60% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus by between 40% (inclusive) and 50% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus by between 30% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus by between 20% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Missouri Caucus by less than 20% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate) or loses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 4:01:39 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.