
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by more than 60% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by between 50% (inclusive) and 60% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by between 40% (inclusive) and 50% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by between 30% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by between 20% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Michigan Primary by less than 20% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate) or loses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Michigan Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 4:01:50 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.