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Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?
24h volume$0
Total volume$436.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 15, 24
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
>40%Closed0%
Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus >40%
Yes0%
No100%
- Liquidity
- $15.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 15, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by greater than 40% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.