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Trump Margin of Victory in Idaho Caucus?
24h volume$0
Total volume$7.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 2, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
>60%Closed100%
Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus >60%
Yes100%
No0%
- Liquidity
- $91
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Idaho caucuses by greater than 60% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Idaho caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.