Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$55K

Liquidity$13.4K

Event end date · UTCOct 1, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Deadline passedMarket odds1.1%

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

Yes1.1%Polymarket estimate

No99%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $13.4K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 1, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.2¢ / 1.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.