Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

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Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required

24h volume$745

Total volume$1.7K

Liquidity$11.3K

Event end date · UTCNov 1, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds6.1%

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

Yes6.1%Polymarket estimate

No94%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11.3K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 1, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 4.7¢ / 7.4¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.