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Trump grope video released before the election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$47.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Trump grope video released before the election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.9¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a video of Donald Trump groping a woman is made public between October 23 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying videos must be video footage showing non-consensual physical contact initiated by Trump on a woman's breast, buttocks, or crotch. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered. The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:25:30 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.