Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$184K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.3¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announce that the United States is ending its participation in the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran as an active negotiating party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements will qualify. Informal remarks, statements of intent, or reports of delays, pauses, or tactical shifts will not count unless clearly framed as a decision to withdraw from the negotiations. Statements that the U.S. will no longer attend future rounds, has walked away from talks, or is suspending engagement on the nuclear issue will qualify if presented as official policy. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.