
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is legally eligible to vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trump becomes legally ineligible to vote, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise this market may not resolve until after the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or a public statement from Trump confirming that he will be legally ineligible.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:48:43 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.