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Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
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Choose a market to analyze 3 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$74.1
Total volume$3.8K
Liquidity$3.8K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
October 15Accepting ordersMarket odds14%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?
Yes14%Polymarket estimate
No86%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $271.5
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 16, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 12.0¢ / 16.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.