
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump calls Nicki Minaj “hot” between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Comparative words like “hotter” and “hottest” (e.g. “She’s hotter than me”) will not count. Nouns containing “hot” like “hotty” will not count. Portmanteaus (words blended from two words where parts of each are combined) do not qualify unless the portmanteau clearly contains “hot” as a distinct, unaltered element. A direct reference to Nicki Minaj will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:21:35 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.