
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden and Donald Trump engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate at any point on June 27, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that debate has been postponed or cancelled this market may immediately resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. Changes to the June 27th debate such as a switch in the hosting network, or a debate that begins on June 27 and then ends early, will still result in a "Yes" resolution.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:58:34 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.