
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:11:54 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.