Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$158.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCFeb 25, 2026

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Feb 25, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump definitively announces that the United States will initiate military action against Iran during his 2026 State of the Union address scheduled for Feb 24. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Trump must clearly and definitively state that military force will be used against Iran. Statements that military action is under consideration, warnings, threats, or conditional remarks will not qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes or any other action which does constitute direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Announcements from Trump that the U.S. will strike Iran which Trump refutes or qualifies during the address such that the original statement is no longer understood as definitive will not qualify. The announcement must occur during the official 2026 State of the Union address. If the 2026 state of the union does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be video of the address.