Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$987.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 7, 2026

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 7, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced. If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.