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Trump and Biden both lose nomination?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$11.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 22, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Trump and Biden both lose nomination?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 22, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden loses the Democratic nomination for POTUS and Donald Trump loses the Republican nomination for POTUS in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", both named candidates must lose the described nominations. If one loses and the other wins, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic and Republican national conventions, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.