
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase makes tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available when customers holding a U.S. Coinbase account are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on Coinbase, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the Coinbase app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify; tokenized stocks must be actively purchasable by the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase (https://x.com/coinbase, https://www.coinbase.com/blog); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase makes tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available when customers holding a U.S. Coinbase account are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on Coinbase, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the Coinbase app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify; tokenized stocks must be actively purchasable by the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase (https://x.com/coinbase, https://www.coinbase.com/blog); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase makes tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available when customers holding a U.S. Coinbase account are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on Coinbase, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the Coinbase app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify; tokenized stocks must be actively purchasable by the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase (https://x.com/coinbase, https://www.coinbase.com/blog); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase makes tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available when customers holding a U.S. Coinbase account are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on Coinbase, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the Coinbase app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify; tokenized stocks must be actively purchasable by the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase (https://x.com/coinbase, https://www.coinbase.com/blog); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:37:42 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.