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Time 2024 Person of the Year
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.7M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
11 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Donald TrumpClosedMarket odds100%
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".