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TikTok/UMG deal before March?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$43.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
TikTok/UMG deal before March?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TikTok and Universal Music Group (UMG) agree by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET to a deal which would permit music by UMG artists to appear on TikTok again. Note: An announcement before the resolution date of an agreement/deal will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the agreement/deal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok and UMG, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:24:37 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.