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"The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 6 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$316.7
Total volume$482.4
Liquidity$3.7K
Event end date · UTCOct 11, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<5mAccepting ordersMarket odds8%
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
Yes8%Polymarket estimate
No92%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $483
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 11, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 5.0¢ / 11.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to how much "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 9 - 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.