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The First Modulithic Debate
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$14.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Hoffman: “Fundamentals” in first 5 minutes ClosedMarket odds50%
Will David Hoffman say the word “fundamentals” in the first 5 minutes of the debate?
Yes50%Polymarket estimate
No50%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".