Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?

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24h volume$0

Total volume$96.1K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCNov 10, 2023

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Nov 10, 2023
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel enters a ceasefire in exchange for hostages held by Hamas by November 10, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (UTC + 2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ceasefire will be considered a publicly announced and mutually agreed upon halt in military engagement between Israel and Hamas. For this market to resolve "Yes", the referenced entities must enter the ceasefire and the hostages must be exchanged before the resolution date, regardless of the de facto length of the the ceasefire. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.