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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
Up0%Polymarket estimate
Down100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2026
- Up bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.