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Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 12 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$47.5
Total volume$145.2K
Liquidity$115.8K
Event end date · UTCAug 19, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Loranne AusleyDeadline passedMarket odds50%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
Yes50%Polymarket estimate
No50%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $29.8K
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 19, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 49.0¢ / 51.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.