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Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$3.8M
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 13, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Lai Ching-te (賴清德)ClosedMarket odds100%
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 13, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lai Ching-te (賴清德) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.