
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Erie county vote tally.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Pinellas county vote tally.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Maricopa county vote tally.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Kent county vote tally.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Bucks county vote tally.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Clark county vote tally.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:53:24 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.