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Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volume$4
Total volume$23.2K
Liquidity$13.1K
Event end date · UTCJan 2, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds10.5%
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Yes10.5%Polymarket estimate
No89.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $13.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 2, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 9.0¢ / 12.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:22:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.