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Supreme Court votes in favor of Trump absolute immunity?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$72.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Supreme Court votes in favor of Trump absolute immunity?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) upholds Trump's argument for absolute presidential immunity from criminal charges in Trump v. United States (No. 23-939) once its decision on this case is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SCOTUS declines to rule on this case, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If SCOTUS remands this case, sending it back to a lower court, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting and interpretation will also be used.