
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn June 6, a federal judge ordered ex-Trump adviser Steve Bannon to report to prison by July 1. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon reports to prison between June 5 and July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If he is brought to prison by a third party by the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:01:02 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.