Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$98.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.1¢ / 0.2¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between August 4, 2024, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Starmer has remained Prime Minister for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the Government of the United Kingdom (e.g. https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister, https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.