
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) awards any contract to Starlink before March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the FAA awards only a portion of a larger contract to Starlink, this market will still resolve to "Yes", provided that Starlink is formally awarded a contract of any kind. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the FAA and U.S. government contracting records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:41:43 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.