
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai both have more than 99.5 Super Mario Bros deaths by the end of their Super Mario Bros challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Super Mario Bros deaths. If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes." The resolution source is the counter on https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2F7LwtY43PE. If no counter is available this market will resolve based on footage of the stream.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:36:18 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.