
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIShowSpeed and Kai Cenat are presently at 40 deaths in their hardcore Minecraft challenge. This market will resolve to "Yes" if IShowSpeed and Kai Cenat beat their hardcore Minecraft challenge during the present attempt, without dying. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If either IShowSpeed or Kai Cenat die during the present attempt, this market will resolve immediately to "No". If either streamer permanently gives up on the challenge in the middle of this attempt, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official video from IShowSpeed (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed) and Kai Cenat (https://www.youtube.com/@KaiCenatLive), however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:00:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.