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Who will be the Speaker of the House?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$188.4M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
16 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Mike JohnsonClosedMarket odds100%
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.