
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX’s primary exchange places any volatility-related halt or pause on trading of SpaceX stock on its first day of trading. A qualifying halt must take place after SpaceX shares have already been publicly traded on its primary exchange. A qualifying halt or pause on trading must be in response to specific volatility in SpaceX stock. Any market-wide halt, like a “circuit breaker”, will not qualify. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange. In the event that historical trading halts are unavailable on the primary exchange, another reliable source will be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:48:31 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.