
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThis market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:20:26 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.