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South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$58.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 10, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
DPKClosedMarket odds100%
Will the DPK win the most seats in the South Korean election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 8, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The next legislative elections in South Korea are provisionally scheduled to be held on April 10, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPK (Democratic Party of Korea) controls a greater number of seats in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea than any other party after the results of the 2024 South Korean legislative election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the DPK ties with another party for the most seats, the tied party which comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the winner (e.g., in a tie between the DPK and PPP, the DPK would resolve to "Yes"). If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, official information from the government of the South Korea and/or information published through the official website (https://korea.assembly.go.kr:447/portalEn/main/main.do) of the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea will be used.