
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." If no such primary takes place in South Carolina in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." If no such primary takes place in South Carolina in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." If no such primary takes place in South Carolina in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, or Ron DeSantis wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary. If no such primary takes place in South Carolina in 2024, this market will also resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:31:12 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.